Various Macro Economic Indicators can be predicted well by Econobusiness Biocycle without having much to do Dynamic Prediction Revision

By: Edmond F. La'lang (observer of economic and environmental)

           Economic activity is an activity all of an economic community in a district, province and country that can provide economic benefits in the form of profits, production and the marketing channels for the supply of goods and services (including financial fund) for the consumption needs and community services in the region and his country. This economic activity will provide a dynamic of growth for economic progress and prosperity for economic actors (profit), employees and labor (salaries and wages), and for the stakeholders ie the state (taxes) and society (multiflier effect). Economic activity will provide an aspect of a dynamic growth with the ups and downs of the economic conditions in the production of goods and services, entry and exit flows of real investment and financial fund, monetary and fiscal sectors in the course of government according to the state budget, import and export activities of various economic activities other.

          Economic growth in the form of economic dynamics is an Economic Biorhytmic a region, province and country that shaped the sound and economic fluctuations are often given in the form of various "Macroeconomic Indicators" is the level of economic growth, inflation, interest rate and credit SBI, the Rupiah, reserves, surplus-deficit balance of payments in international trade and government budget (Current Account), the Money Supply (Money Based Indicator), the price of fuel and basic food commodities and industrial raw materials and consumption, and others. But it is also important is the Debt Service Ratio of a country to manage its debts in order to provide a rational leverage to economic progress as well as to repay the mortgage debt (2009-2010 European cases such as Greece, Spain and Portugal). Surprisingly most of the countries and companies of the world will always protect all of its debts by way of hedging or reinsurance Credit Default Swap is similar, but with high risk and a significant financial cost that is often peddled by the Global Investment Banking. Though the risk itself basically can not be "protected" safe with a variety of swap and hedging of economic turmoil because of the economic cycle by natural forces.

      
          With economic indicators, economists are trying to make economic predictions of monthly, quarterly, annual and quarterly in the form of the treatise "Economic Outlook" to provide an overview of economic prospects for the government and employers in determining the range of strategic planning in government economic policy and the policy of the company's business to a variety of economic data macros that have been predicted. But the main problem is that often the government economists and economic analysts can not give an exact prediction with a variety of econometric calculations in the field of monetary and fiscal policies, so that each quarter to years with a heavy heart had to revise its economic predictions to be adjusted (adjustment) with the real conditions of macro-economic . This is caused by the use of various econometric formulas that are linear and one dimensional to predict the dimension of human economic activity is more complex (dimensions 1-3) and assisted the science of statistics (static / unmovable) to predict the range dynamics (movable) from various matrices and combinations physical, mental, expectations, achievements, spirit, appetite and other psychological factors of a number of hundreds of millions and even billions of human beings consumers and producers in a country and the world.

           Economics only understand about how to make profit and grow up every time the prospects and opportunities, whereas if the decline is a loss, uncertainty and even the risks that need to be avoided. Though the rise and fall conditions and economic growth is a natural form of human beings activities such as day and night, waking-sleep, healthy-sick, happy-sad, success-failure, including the advantages and disadvantages. This is what makes the human economy often do not understand the supernatural and the natural effect of various economic activities. That's why economists and business people need to know more about the strains and fluctuations bioritmik (already widely used by sports science, medicine, psychology) to avoid the decline of the economic cycle by means of preventive to anticipated even to avoid the risk of loss, failure and bankruptcy. The method is a natural bio-economy preventive (prevention) and early warning system for economic and business can avoid the risk of loss, market risk, interest rate risk, inflation risk, the risk of fluctuation in currency values, the risk of fuel price increases, prices of raw materials and ingredients helper, default risk, competition risk, the risk of changing tastes and needs of consumers and other risks that could make the company at risk of harm, risk demand workers' rights and bankruptcy risk.

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